Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
2.1) 
-0.22) 
