Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 64.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 14.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Ternana	Draw	Sampdoria
64.67% ( -0.79)	20.61% ( 0.39)	14.72% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 48.75% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.73% (

-0.89)

46.27% (

0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.44% (

-0.84)

68.56% (

0.84)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.44% (

-0.51)

13.55% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.36% (

-1.03)

40.64% (

1.02)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.39% (

0.01)

43.6% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.2% (

0.01)

79.8% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Ternana 64.66%

Sampdoria 14.72%

Draw 20.61%

Ternana	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 11.8% 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.75% Total : 64.66%	1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 20.61%	0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 14.72%