Sampdoria logo
Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 14, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
1 - 1
Sudtirol

Leris (17')
Ferrari (32')
FT
(aet)
Casiraghi (45+4')
Giorgini (36'), Rover (45+1')
Sampdoria win 7-6 on penalties
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Sampdoria and Sudtirol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, June 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bari 1-0 Sudtirol
Friday, June 2 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (6.69%).

Result
SampdoriaDrawSudtirol
55.44% (-0.337 -0.34)23.96% (0.126 0.13)20.59% (0.212 0.21)
Both teams to score 49.67% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.09% (-0.255 -0.26)50.91% (0.256 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.21% (-0.224 -0.22)72.79% (0.227 0.23)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)18.23% (0.221 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.74% (-0.377 -0.38)49.26% (0.379 0.38)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.74% (0.073999999999998 0.07)39.26% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.04% (0.068000000000001 0.07)75.97% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 55.43%
    Sudtirol 20.59%
    Draw 23.96%
SampdoriaDrawSudtirol
1-0 @ 12.18% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.36% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.5% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 55.43%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.96%
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.082 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.33% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.13% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 20.59%

How you voted: Sampdoria vs Sudtirol

Sampdoria
85.7%
Draw
4.8%
Sudtirol
9.5%
21