Serie B | Gameweek 2
Aug 27, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Catanzaro
2 - 1
Ternana

Biasci (10'), Vandeputte (89' pen.)
Situm (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Raimondo (45')
Luperini (53'), Sorensen (90+2')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Catanzaro and Ternana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Catanzaro

All competitions
Serie B
Last Game: Cremonese 0-0 Catanzaro
Saturday, August 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Ternana

All competitions
Serie B
Last Game: Ternana 1-2 Sampdoria
Saturday, August 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Ternana win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.

Result
CatanzaroDrawTernana
55.16% (-0.279 -0.28)23.1% (0.26 0.26)21.74% (0.017999999999997 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.99% (-0.828 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.02% (-1.115 -1.12)45.98% (1.115 1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.71% (-1.066 -1.07)68.29% (1.066 1.07)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.47% (-0.492 -0.49)16.53% (0.492 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.71% (-0.895 -0.89)46.29% (0.895 0.9)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68% (-0.60899999999999 -0.61)35.32% (0.60899999999999 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (-0.642 -0.64)72.08% (0.64099999999999 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Catanzaro 55.15%
    Ternana 21.74%
    Draw 23.09%
CatanzaroDrawTernana
1-0 @ 10.5% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.46% (0.134 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.67% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.074 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 55.15%
1-1 @ 10.93% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.84% (0.272 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.09%
0-1 @ 6.08% (0.186 0.19)
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 21.74%