Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola
Parma logo

Bari
0 - 3
Parma


Bellomo (34'), Benali (34'), Morachioli (41')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Benedyczak (8'), Bonny (34'), Man (75')
Zagaritis (33'), Estevez (36')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Bari and Parma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bari

All competitions
Last Game: Bari 0-1 Cagliari
Sunday, June 11 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Parma

All competitions
Last Game: Parma 0-0 Cagliari
Saturday, June 3 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
BariDrawParma
41.78% (0.086999999999996 0.09)27.08% (0.087 0.09)31.14% (-0.179 -0.18)
Both teams to score 49.62% (-0.338 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.46% (-0.39899999999999 -0.4)55.54% (0.391 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.28% (-0.328 -0.33)76.71% (0.321 0.32)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.77% (-0.14 -0.14)26.22% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.67% (-0.184 -0.18)61.32% (0.178 0.18)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26% (-0.33500000000001 -0.34)32.74% (0.328 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.7% (-0.374 -0.37)69.3% (0.366 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Bari 41.77%
    Parma 31.14%
    Draw 27.08%
BariDrawParma
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.69% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 41.77%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.59% (0.129 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 9.59% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.35% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 31.14%

Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 20
Bari
4-0
Parma
Balogh (5' og.), Cheddira (13' pen., 43' pen.), Salcedo (90+3')
Oct 19, 2022 5pm
Second Round
Parma
1-0
Bari
Benedyczak (29')
> Preview
Aug 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Parma
2-2
Bari
Man (3'), Mihaila (45+1')
Estevez (8'), Valenti (38'), Mihaila (45+2'), Bernabe (54'), Del Prato (90')
Antenucci (11' pen.), Folorunsho (35')
Terranova (3'), Cheddira (38'), Mallamo (79')
May 12, 2018 2pm
Parma
1-0
Bari
Gagliolo (59')
Sierralta (20'), Gagliolo (66')

Basha (37'), Marrone (50'), Sabelli (55'), Gyomber (84')
Empereur (84')
Dec 21, 2017 7.30pm
Bari
0-0
Parma
Petriccione (30'), Tonucci (42'), Cassani (65'), Sabelli (66')
Scavone (33'), Scozzarella (84')