Serie B | Gameweek 37

May 13, 2023 at 1pm UK

Stadio Paolo Mazza

SPAL
0 - 1
Parma

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vazquez (75' pen.)

Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Parma.

Form, Standings, Stats

SPAL

All competitions

Last Game: Palermo 2-1 SPAL
Saturday, May 6 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Parma

All competitions

Last Game: Parma 2-0 Brescia
Sunday, May 7 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Parma in this match.

Result
SPAL	Draw	Parma
31.54% ( -3.97)	26.25% ( 0.15)	42.21% ( 3.82)

Both teams to score 52.35% (

-1.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.89% (

-1.44)

52.11% (

1.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.17% (

-1.26)

73.83% (

1.25)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.3% (

-3.25)

30.7% (

3.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.04% (

-4.01)

66.96% (

4.01)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.55% (

1.36)

24.45% (

-1.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.11% (

1.88)

58.88% (

-1.88)

Score Analysis

SPAL 31.54%

Parma 42.21%

Draw 26.25%

SPAL	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.65) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.69) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.55) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.49) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.3) Other @ 3.07% Total : 31.54%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.97) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.95) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.34) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.56) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.24) Other @ 2.65% Total : 42.21%