Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 56.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 19.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
Parma	Draw	FeralpiSalo
56.57% ( -0.08)	24.3% ( 0.05)	19.13% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 46.51% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.03% (

-0.13)

53.97% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.59% (

-0.11)

75.41% (

0.11)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.04% (

-0.08)

18.95% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.52% (

-0.13)

50.47% (

0.13)

FeralpiSalo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.38% (

-0.03)

42.61% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.03% (

-0.03)

78.96% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Parma 56.56%

FeralpiSalo 19.13%

Draw 24.29%

Parma	Draw	FeralpiSalo
1-0 @ 13.43% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 56.56%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 24.29%	0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 19.13%