Serie B | Gameweek 9
Oct 7, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Sampdoria logo

Ascoli
1 - 1
Sampdoria

Nestorovski (45+4')
Nestorovski (64'), Di Tacchio (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Borini (51' pen.)
Murru (44'), Stojanovic (45+3'), Gonzalez Molino (73'), Ghilardi (90+4')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Sampdoria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ascoli

All competitions
Last Game: Brescia 1-1 Ascoli
Saturday, September 30 at 1pm in Serie B

Sampdoria

All competitions
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-2 Catanzaro
Sunday, October 1 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.82%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
AscoliDrawSampdoria
55.9% (0.035000000000004 0.04)24.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)19.82% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.62% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.95%53.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.36% (0.0010000000000012 0)74.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.14% (0.012 0.01)18.86% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.68% (0.023000000000003 0.02)50.32% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.69% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)41.31% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.17% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)77.83% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ascoli 55.89%
    Sampdoria 19.82%
    Draw 24.27%
AscoliDrawSampdoria
1-0 @ 12.99%
2-0 @ 10.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 6.03% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 55.89%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.79%
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 24.27%
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 19.82%

Head to Head
Oct 20, 2022 5pm
Second Round
Sampdoria
2-2
Ascoli
 Sampdoria win 9-8 on penalties
Verre (10'), Caputo (118')
Collocolo (33'), Donati (110')
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