Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Ascoli	Draw	Palermo
40.13% ( 0.03)	27.72% ( -0)	32.16% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 48.09% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.37%

57.64% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.6% (

-0)

78.4% (

0.01)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.9% (

0.02)

28.11% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.22% (

0.02)

63.78% (

-0.02)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.9% (

-0.02)

33.11% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.3% (

-0.02)

69.71% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Ascoli 40.13%

Palermo 32.15%

Draw 27.72%

Ascoli	Draw	Palermo
1-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 40.13%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.31% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.72%	0-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.15%