Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 19.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.

Result
Ascoli	Draw	FeralpiSalo
55.11% ( 0.35)	24.9% ( -0.2)	19.99% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 46.15% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.86% (

0.54)

55.14% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.61% (

0.45)

76.39% (

-0.45)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.03% (

0.35)

19.97% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.85% (

0.57)

52.14% (

-0.57)

FeralpiSalo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.66% (

0.14)

42.33% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.28% (

0.13)

78.72% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Ascoli 55.09%

FeralpiSalo 19.99%

Draw 24.89%

Ascoli	Draw	FeralpiSalo
1-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.55% Total : 55.09%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.89%	0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.97% Total : 19.99%