Modena vs Ascoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 47.28%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 25.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Modena in this match.