Serie B | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Marco Druso
Sudtirol3 - 1Ascoli
Merkaj (53'), Casiraghi (64', 83' pen.)
Tait (59'), Odogwu (63')
Tait (59'), Odogwu (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Sudtirol and Ascoli.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sudtirol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sudtirol | Draw | Ascoli |
40.47% ( 0.07) | 29.54% ( -0.01) | 29.98% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 42.41% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
