Serie B Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Marco Druso
  • Silvio Merkaj 53' goal
  • Fabian Tait 59' yellowcard
  • Raphael Odogwu 63' yellowcard
  • Daniele Casiraghi 64' goal
  • Daniele Casiraghi 83' goal
  • yellowcard Samuel Giovane 26'
  • goal Pedro Mendes 44'
  • yellowcard Vincenzo Millico 67'
  • yellowcard Eric Botteghin 82'
  • yellowcard Francesco Di Tacchio 90'+2'

Sudtirol vs Ascoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudtirol

All competitions
Last game
Aug 26, 2023 7.30pm
FeralpiSalo 0 - 2 Sudtirol
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Daniele Casiraghi

Ascoli

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2023 7.30pm
Ascoli 3 - 0 FeralpiSalo
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Pedro Mendes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sudtirol would win this match.

Result

Sudtirol 40.47% (+0.07)
Draw 29.54% (-0.02)
Ascoli 29.98% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.41% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 35.66% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 64.34% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 16.57% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 83.42% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 6.44% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 93.55% (-0.01)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5 68.79% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 31.21% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 32.45% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 67.55% (-0.06)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5 61.66% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 38.34% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 24.9% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 75.1% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Sudtirol 40.47%
Draw 29.53%
Ascoli 29.98%
Sudtirol
1-0 @ 13.93% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.11% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.78% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.02% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.45% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 40.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.35% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 11.96% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.73%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.53%
Ascoli
0-1 @ 11.47% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.4% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 29.98%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 33
Apr 15, 2023 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
  • Cedric Gondo 89' goal
Serie B Gameweek 14
Nov 27, 2022 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Marco Druso
  • Daniele Casiraghi 57' goal
  • Matteo Rover 84' goal
  • goal Amato Ciciretti 1'
  • goal Fabrizio Caligara 65'