Serie B | Gameweek 1
Aug 20, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Marco Druso
Spezia Calcio logo

Sudtirol
3 - 3
Spezia

Casiraghi (32' pen., 50' pen.), Odogwu (90+3')
Ghiringhelli (45+3'), Masiello (79'), Odogwu (86')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Moro (8', 62'), Reca (36')
Muhl (30'), Nikolaou (69'), Antonucci (90+2')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Sudtirol and Spezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudtirol

All competitions
Serie B
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-1 Sudtirol (7-6 pen.)
Monday, August 14 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Venezia (4-3 pen.)
Monday, August 14 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
SudtirolDrawSpezia
36.89% (-0.803 -0.8)28.88% (0.107 0.11)34.23% (0.695 0.7)
Both teams to score 45.15% (-0.215 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.54% (-0.301 -0.3)61.45% (0.3 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.66% (-0.225 -0.22)81.33% (0.221 0.22)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.07% (-0.65300000000001 -0.65)31.92% (0.652 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.62% (-0.753 -0.75)68.37% (0.75 0.75)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.33% (0.319 0.32)33.67% (-0.32 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.68% (0.345 0.34)70.32% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Sudtirol 36.89%
    Spezia 34.23%
    Draw 28.87%
SudtirolDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 12.27% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.63% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-0 @ 7.01% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 36.89%
1-1 @ 13.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.74% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.87%
0-1 @ 11.7% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.37% (0.18 0.18)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.084 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 34.23%

How you voted: Sudtirol vs Spezia

Sudtirol
25.0%
Draw
35.0%
Spezia
40.0%
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