Salernitana
1 - 2
Spezia Calcio

Gondo (30')
Di Tacchio (21'), Maistro (35'), Migliorini (59')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mora (45+1'), N'Zola (90')
Maggiore (50'), Desjardins (90+5')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Salernitana and Spezia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia Calcio win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia Calcio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia Calcio would win this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Spezia
31.85%	26.7%	41.45%

Both teams to score 51.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.16%

53.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.69%

75.31%

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.63%

31.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.26%

67.74%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.38%

25.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.49%

60.51%

Score Analysis

Salernitana 31.85%

Spezia 41.44%

Draw 26.7%

Salernitana	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 9.32% 2-1 @ 7.36% 2-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.91% Total : 31.85%	1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 8.04% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.7%	0-1 @ 10.94% 1-2 @ 8.64% 0-2 @ 7.45% 1-3 @ 3.92% 0-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.35% Total : 41.44%