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Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
Venezia

Spezia
2 - 2
Venezia

Antonucci (19'), Moro (60' pen.)
Idzes (98')
FT
(aet)
Pohjanpalo (54'), Gytkjaer (81' pen.)
Idzes (26'), Sverko (62')
Spezia win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Spezia and Venezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Spezia 1-3 Hellas Verona
Sunday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Venezia

All competitions
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Venezia
Saturday, May 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%).

Result
SpeziaDrawVenezia
30.72% (0.322 0.32)24.19% (0.035 0.04)45.09% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)
Both teams to score 58.83% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)43.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)65.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04% (0.209 0.21)26.96% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.7% (0.271 0.27)62.3% (-0.264 -0.26)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)19.47% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.68% (-0.245 -0.24)51.32% (0.251 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 30.72%
    Venezia 45.09%
    Draw 24.19%
SpeziaDrawVenezia
2-1 @ 7.38% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.88% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.51% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.22% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.97% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 30.72%
1-1 @ 11.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.03% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.03% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.83% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 45.09%

How you voted: Spezia vs Venezia

Spezia
71.4%
Draw
7.1%
Venezia
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 31
Spezia
1-0
Venezia
Gyasi (90+3')
Maggiore (79'), Manaj (85'), Gyasi (90+3')

Okereke (90+2')
> Preview
Sep 19, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 4
Venezia
1-2
Spezia
Ceccaroni (59')
Mazzocchi (26'), Vacca (57'), Busio (69'), Heymans (84')
Bastoni (13'), Bourabia (90+4')
Ferrer (47')
> Preview
Jul 17, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 35
Spezia
0-1
Venezia

Gyasi (43'), Maggiore (72')
Aramu (16' pen.)
Riccardi (10'), Firenze (61')
Dec 14, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 16
Venezia
0-0
Spezia
Fiordilino (75')
Mastinu (19'), Maggiore (21'), McIntosh-Buffonge (72'), Scuffet (81')
Maggiore (67')
Jan 21, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 20
Spezia
1-1
Venezia
Da Cruz (64')
Ricci (25')
Domizzi (60')
Garofalo (15'), Vrioni (36')