Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Catanzaro
38.93% ( 0.41)	26.23% ( 0.07)	34.83% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 53.3% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.7% (

-0.35)

51.3% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.87% (

-0.3)

73.13% (

0.31)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.2% (

0.06)

25.8% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.24% (

0.09)

60.75% (

-0.09)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.83% (

-0.46)

28.17% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.14% (

-0.58)

63.86% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 38.93%

Catanzaro 34.83%

Draw 26.23%

Sampdoria	Draw	Catanzaro
1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 38.93%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23%	0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.77% Total : 34.83%