Serie B | Gameweek 4

Sep 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Comunale Euganeo

Lecco
3 - 4
Catanzaro

Novakovich (64'), Caporale (83'), Eusepi (90+2')
Crociata (38'), Sersanti (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Iemmello (31'), Vandeputte (56'), Verna (85'), Donnarumma (88')
Vivarini (39'), Katseris (78')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Lecco and Catanzaro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Catanzaro

All competitions

Serie B

Last Game: Catanzaro 3-0 Spezia
Wednesday, August 30 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 51.09%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 21.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Lecco win it was 1-0 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.

Result
Lecco	Draw	Catanzaro
21.87% ( -0.28)	27.03% ( 0.14)	51.09% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 42.93% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.34% (

-0.68)

60.66% (

0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.26% (

-0.52)

80.74% (

0.52)

Lecco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.47% (

-0.69)

43.53% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.26% (

-0.58)

79.74% (

0.58)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.03% (

-0.23)

23.97% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.79% (

-0.33)

58.2% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Lecco 21.87%

Catanzaro 51.08%

Draw 27.03%

Lecco	Draw	Catanzaro
1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.87%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.52% Total : 27.03%	0-1 @ 14.9% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 10.64% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.34% Total : 51.08%