Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.

Result
Catanzaro	Draw	Spezia
50.4% ( 2.49)	22.99% ( -0.46)	26.61% ( -2.03)

Both teams to score 60.02% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.39% (

0.61)

40.61% (

-0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.01% (

0.63)

62.99% (

-0.63)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.72% (

1.16)

16.28% (

-1.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.18% (

2.06)

45.83% (

-2.05)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.69% (

-1.12)

28.31% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.97% (

-1.44)

64.04% (

1.44)

Score Analysis

Catanzaro 50.4%

Spezia 26.61%

Draw 22.99%

Catanzaro	Draw	Spezia
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.25) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.47% Total : 50.4%	1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.99%	1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.36) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.2) Other @ 3.58% Total : 26.61%