Serie B | Gameweek 7
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Ascoli
2 - 0
Ternana

Mendes (42' pen., 89')
Rodriguez (45+4'), Nestorovski (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Diakite (62'), Pyyhtia (85'), Raimondo (90+5')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Ternana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ascoli

All competitions
Last Game: Cremonese 2-2 Ascoli
Saturday, September 23 at 1pm in Serie B

Ternana

All competitions
Last Game: Ternana 1-1 Sudtirol
Saturday, September 23 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 23.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Ternana win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.

Result
AscoliDrawTernana
52.74% (0.542 0.54)24.15% (-0.165 -0.16)23.11% (-0.377 -0.38)
Both teams to score 52.42% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.07% (0.304 0.3)48.93% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.98% (0.274 0.27)71.02% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.49% (0.325 0.33)18.51% (-0.324 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.27% (0.545 0.55)49.73% (-0.543 -0.54)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.32% (-0.179 -0.18)35.68% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.55% (-0.183 -0.18)72.45% (0.18599999999999 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Ascoli 52.74%
    Ternana 23.11%
    Draw 24.15%
AscoliDrawTernana
1-0 @ 11.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.28% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.055 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.23% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 52.74%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.6% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 6.81% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 23.11%

Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 20
Ternana
1-0
Ascoli
Palumbo (27')
Aug 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Ascoli
2-1
Ternana
Botteghin (14'), Collocolo (32')
Leali (34'), Ciciretti (90')
Favilli (76')
Palumbo (45+2'), Bogdan (58'), Paghera (90+2'), Diakite (90+4')
May 6, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 38
Ascoli
4-1
Ternana
Tsadjout (6', 19', 60'), Defendi (63' og.)
D'Orazio (45+1')
Partipilo (46')
Pettinari (27')
Jan 14, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 19
Ternana
2-4
Ascoli
Falletti (57'), Peralta (90+4')
Ghiringhelli (13'), Paghera (32'), Celli (73')
Maistro (20', 23'), Caligara (42' pen.), Baschirotto (75')
Maistro (37'), D'Orazio (45+1'), Caligara (58')
Mar 17, 2018 2pm
Ascoli
2-1
Ternana
Padella (20'), Monachello (84' pen.)
Padella (24')
Mignanelli (72')
Gasparetto (48')
Favalli (37'), Valijent (61'), Tremolada (74'), Piovaccari (78')
Signori (90')
rhs 2.0


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