Serie B | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Como
2 - 1
Ternana

Odenthal (83', 90+5')
Cutrone (45+2'), Lhassine Kone (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Luperini (29'), Raimondo (74')
Lucarelli (46'), Labojko (84'), Distefano (90+5')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Como and Ternana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-1 Como
Sunday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ternana 0-0 Bari
Sunday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.

Result
ComoDrawTernana
47.58% (-0.88800000000001 -0.89)25.79% (0.373 0.37)26.63% (0.514 0.51)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-0.712 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.34% (-1.137 -1.14)52.65% (1.134 1.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.7% (-0.984 -0.98)74.3% (0.98 0.98)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87% (-0.863 -0.86)22.13% (0.861 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.49% (-1.319 -1.32)55.51% (1.317 1.32)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.34% (-0.18900000000001 -0.19)34.66% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.61% (-0.201 -0.2)71.38% (0.199 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Como 47.57%
    Ternana 26.63%
    Draw 25.78%
ComoDrawTernana
1-0 @ 11.56% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-0 @ 4.39% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 47.57%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 7.67% (0.338 0.34)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.319 0.32)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.31% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 26.63%

Head to Head
May 13, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 37
Como
3-1
Ternana
Vignali (62'), Da Cunha (70'), Chajia (77')
Ioannou (73'), Farago (90+1')
Favilli (32' pen.)
Di Tacchio (44'), Agazzi (49')
Agazzi (68')
Dec 18, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 18
Ternana
0-3
Como
Cutrone (15'), Ambrosino (77'), Mancuso (90+3')
Mar 15, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Como
1-1
Ternana
La Gumina (37')
Bertoncini (30'), La Gumina (71'), Parigini (82')
Salzano (68' pen.)
Sorensen (17'), Koutsoupias (33'), Agazzi (56'), Diakite (73'), Salzano (79')
Nov 1, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 11
Ternana
1-2
Como
Falletti (76')
Falletti (14'), Defendi (55'), Proietti (84')
Vignali (16'), La Gumina (52')
Chajia (30')