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Serie B | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
0 - 1
Como


Pio Esposito (16'), Muhl (67'), Cassata (73'), Bandinelli (75'), Kouda (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barba (24')
Lhassine Kone (45'), Iovine (54'), Da Cunha (55'), Curto (68')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Spezia and Como.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Serie B
Last Game: Catanzaro 3-0 Spezia
Wednesday, August 30 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Como

All competitions
Serie B
Last Game: Como 2-2 Reggiana
Saturday, August 26 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Como had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawComo
40.28% (2.258 2.26)25.71% (-0.378 -0.38)34% (-1.879 -1.88)
Both teams to score 54.86% (0.973 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78% (1.378 1.38)49.22% (-1.379 -1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.72% (1.23 1.23)71.28% (-1.231 -1.23)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (1.832 1.83)24.14% (-1.833 -1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.54% (2.536 2.54)58.45% (-2.537 -2.54)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (-0.47500000000001 -0.48)27.68% (0.475 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77% (-0.613 -0.61)63.23% (0.611 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 40.28%
    Como 34%
    Draw 25.71%
SpeziaDrawComo
1-0 @ 9.5% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.328 0.33)
3-1 @ 4.11% (0.35 0.35)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.312 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.193 0.19)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.193 0.19)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.164 0.16)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 40.28%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.385 -0.39)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.127 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.616 -0.62)
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.237 -0.24)
0-2 @ 5.51% (-0.475 -0.48)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.237 -0.24)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 34%

Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 5pm
First Round
Spezia
5-1
Como
N'Zola (43', 76' pen.), Verde (60' pen.), Strelec (71'), Maldini (89')
Bastoni (62')
Blanco (55')
Cagnano (37'), Blanco (63')