Serie B Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alberto Picco
  • Francesco Pio Esposito 16' yellowcard
  • Lukas Muhl 67' yellowcard
  • Francesco Cassata 73' yellowcard
  • Filippo Bandinelli 75' yellowcard
  • Rachid Kouda 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Barba 24'
  • yellowcard Ben Lhassine Kone 45'
  • yellowcard Alessio Iovine 54'
  • yellowcard Lucas Da Cunha 55'
  • yellowcard Marco Curto 68'

Spezia vs Como - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2023 7.30pm
Catanzaro 3 - 0 Spezia
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Daniele Verde

Como

All competitions
Last game
Aug 26, 2023 7.30pm
Como 2 - 2 Reggiana
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Patrick Cutrone

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Como had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Spezia 40.28% (+2.26)
Draw 25.71% (-0.38)
Como 34% (-1.88)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.86% (+0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.78% (+1.38)
Under 2.5 49.22% (-1.38)
Over 3.5 28.72% (+1.24)
Under 3.5 71.28% (-1.24)
Over 4.5 13.79% (+0.83)
Under 4.5 86.2% (-0.83)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 75.86% (+1.84)
Under 0.5 24.14% (-1.84)
Over 1.5 41.54% (+2.54)
Under 1.5 58.45% (-2.54)

Como Goals

Over 0.5 72.32% (-0.48)
Under 0.5 27.68% (+0.48)
Over 1.5 36.77% (-0.62)
Under 1.5 63.23% (+0.62)

Score analysis

Spezia 40.28%
Draw 25.71%
Como 34%
Spezia
1-0 @ 9.5% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.67% (+0.31)
2-0 @ 6.75% (+0.33)
3-1 @ 4.11% (+0.36)
3-0 @ 3.2% (+0.32)
3-2 @ 2.64% (+0.20)
4-1 @ 1.46% (+0.20)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-96.07)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 40.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.22)
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.39)
2-2 @ 5.57% (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.13% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
Como
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.62)
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.24)
0-2 @ 5.51% (-0.48)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.15)
2-3 @ 2.38% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.24)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 34%

Head to Head

Coppa Italia
Aug 6, 2022 5.00pm
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Alberto Picco
  • Mbala N'Zola 43' goal
  • Daniele Verde 60' goal
  • Simone Bastoni 62' yellowcard
  • David Strelec 71' goal
  • Mbala N'Zola 76' goal
  • Daniel Maldini 89' goal
  • yellowcard Andrea Cagnano 37'
  • goal Alex Blanco 55'
  • yellowcard Alex Blanco 63'