Serie B | Gameweek 10

Oct 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
2 - 1
Como

Man (8'), Charpentier (74')
Bernabe (50'), Circati (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Barba (90+2')
Abildgaard (7'), Curto (20')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Parma and Como.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions

Last Game: Venezia 3-2 Parma
Saturday, October 7 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Como

All competitions

Last Game: Como 1-3 Cremonese
Sunday, October 8 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 47.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Como had a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
Parma	Draw	Como
47.57% ( 0.02)	27.85% ( 0.02)	24.59% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 43.52% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.68% (

-0.07)

61.32% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.77% (

-0.05)

81.23% (

0.05)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.07% (

-0.02)

25.93% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.07% (

-0.03)

60.92% (

0.03)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.75% (

-0.07)

41.24% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.22% (

-0.06)

77.77% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Parma 47.56%

Como 24.59%

Draw 27.84%

Parma	Draw	Como
1-0 @ 14.43% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 47.56%	1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.84%	0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.22% Total : 24.59%