Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Como had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Bari	Draw	Como
40.55% ( -0.03)	27.53% ( 0.08)	31.92% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 48.58% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.01% (

-0.31)

56.99% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.11% (

-0.25)

77.89% (

0.25)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.44% (

-0.16)

27.56% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.92% (

-0.21)

63.09% (

0.21)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.06% (

-0.2)

32.94% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.49% (

-0.22)

69.52% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Bari 40.54%

Como 31.92%

Draw 27.53%

Bari	Draw	Como
1-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.54%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.53%	0-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.92%