Venezia
Serie B | Gameweek 9
Oct 7, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Parma logo

Venezia
3 - 2
Parma

Busio (46'), Tessmann (63'), Egill Ellertsson (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Benedyczak (54' pen.), Colak (90+3')
Hernani (35'), Di Chiara (36')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Venezia and Parma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezia

All competitions
Last Game: Modena 1-3 Venezia
Saturday, September 30 at 1pm in Serie B

Parma

All competitions
Last Game: Cremonese 1-2 Parma
Sunday, October 1 at 5.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Parma had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.

Result
VeneziaDrawParma
41.95% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)25.46% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)32.59% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.3% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.53% (0.039000000000001 0.04)48.48% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.4% (0.035 0.04)70.61% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.98% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)56.77% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.8% (0.043999999999997 0.04)28.2% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.1% (0.054000000000002 0.05)63.9% (-0.052 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Venezia 41.95%
    Parma 32.59%
    Draw 25.46%
VeneziaDrawParma
1-0 @ 9.53% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.01% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.95%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 6.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 8.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.19% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 32.59%

Head to Head
May 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 38
Parma
2-1
Venezia
Vazquez (12' pen.), Camara (78')
Bernabe (25'), Camara (89')
Pohjanpalo (44')
Ceppitelli (40')
Dec 26, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 19
Venezia
2-2
Parma
Pohjanpalo (70'), Pierini (82')
Vazquez (45' pen., 50')
Aug 17, 2019 5pm
Third Round
Parma
3-1
Venezia
Gervinho (10', 72'), Iacoponi (22')
Alves (61'), Grassi (86')
Aramu (24' pen.)
Capello (59')
Feb 23, 2018 8pm
Parma
1-1
Venezia
Calaio (75' pen.)
Scavone (43')
Firenze (66')
Garofalo (37'), Stulac (45'), Modolo (51'), Andelkovic (75')
Sep 23, 2017 2pm
Venezia
0-1
Parma

Zampano (45'), Domizzi (72'), Fabiano (83')
Di Cesare (55')
Calaio (50'), Scavone (90')