Serie B | Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Venezia

Modena
1 - 3
Venezia

Bonfanti (48')
Gerli (30'), Oukhadda (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Altare (55'), Gytkjaer (76'), Steinn Bjarkason (83')
Zampano (57'), Altare (85')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Venezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sudtirol 0-0 Modena
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Venezia 1-3 Palermo
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
ModenaDrawVenezia
36.91% (0.016999999999996 0.02)27.52% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)35.58% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.27% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.58% (0.016999999999996 0.02)56.42% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)77.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02)29.4% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.62% (0.021000000000001 0.02)65.39% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.79% (0.00099999999999056 0)30.22% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.62% (0.0019999999999953 0)66.38% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Modena 36.91%
    Venezia 35.58%
    Draw 27.51%
ModenaDrawVenezia
1-0 @ 10.87%
2-1 @ 7.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.25% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 2.72% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 36.91%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 8.88% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 10.63%
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.11%
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 35.58%

Head to Head
May 1, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 35
Venezia
5-0
Modena
Pohjanpalo (32', 54', 72', 79' pen.), Zampano (82')
Dec 8, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 16
Modena
2-2
Venezia
Tremolada (37' pen.), Bonfanti (53')
Crnigoj (60'), Johnsen (90')
rhs 2.0


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