Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 36.23%. A win for Modena had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.