Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FeralpiSalo win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Modena had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FeralpiSalo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
FeralpiSalo	Draw	Modena
37.81% ( -0.04)	26.93% ( -0.01)	35.25% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 51.07% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.85% (

0.05)

54.15% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.44% (

0.05)

75.56% (

-0.05)

FeralpiSalo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.24% (

27.76% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.66% (

0.01)

63.34% (

-0.01)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.7% (

0.06)

29.3% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.73% (

0.07)

65.26% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

FeralpiSalo 37.81%

Modena 35.25%

Draw 26.93%

FeralpiSalo	Draw	Modena
1-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.81%	1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.93%	0-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.25%