Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cosenza Calcio win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Modena had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.