Spezia Calcio logo
Serie B | Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Parma logo

Spezia
0 - 1
Parma


Zurkowski (34')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moutinho (90+4' og.)
Camara (44'), Partipilo (64')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Spezia and Parma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Serie B
Last Game: Sampdoria 2-1 Spezia
Friday, November 24 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Parma

All competitions
Serie B
Last Game: Parma 1-1 Modena
Saturday, November 25 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Parma had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawParma
37.47% (0.102 0.1)25.4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)37.12% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 56.32% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.49% (0.039000000000001 0.04)47.51% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (0.036000000000001 0.04)69.72% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.14% (0.070999999999998 0.07)24.86% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.54% (0.103 0.1)59.46% (-0.104 -0.1)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)25.05% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)59.72% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 37.47%
    Parma 37.12%
    Draw 25.4%
SpeziaDrawParma
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 8.35% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.03% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.8% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.007 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 37.47%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 8.62% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.005 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 37.12%

Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 24
Spezia
2-2
Parma
Gyasi (52', 72')
Ricci (21'), N'Zola (88'), Acampora (90')
Karamoh (17'), Hernani (25')
Brunetta (9'), Hernani (50'), Kurtic (84'), Gagliolo (85')
> Preview
Oct 25, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 5
Parma
2-2
Spezia
Gagliolo (34'), Kucka (90+2' pen.)
Grassi (5'), Hernani (23'), Sohm (90')
Chabot (28'), Agudelo (31')
Pobega (6'), Ferrer (85')
> Preview
May 18, 2018 7.30pm
Spezia
0-2
Parma

Gilardino (24'), Lopez (42')
Ceravolo (11'), Ciciretti (61')
Ceravolo (23'), Sierralta (45'), Ciciretti (62')
Dec 27, 2017 7.30pm
Parma
0-0
Spezia
Lucarelli (31'), Di Cesare (57'), Sierralta (73')
Lucarelli (42')
Bolzoni (24'), Terzi (47'), Maggiore (48'), De Col (88')