Serie B | Gameweek 12

Nov 5, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese
3 - 0
Spezia

Sernicola (12'), Zanimacchia (29'), Coda (52')
Pickel (39'), Antov (81'), Collocolo (84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Muhl (22')
Nikolaou (90+4')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cremonese and Spezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cremonese

All competitions

Serie B

Last Game: Cremonese 2-1 Cittadella
Tuesday, October 31 at 2pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Spezia

All competitions

Serie B

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-0 Spezia (5-4 pen.)
Thursday, November 2 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result
Cremonese	Draw	Spezia
48.05% ( -0.3)	25.64% ( 0.09)	26.31% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 51.08% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.74% (

-0.21)

52.26% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.04% (

-0.18)

73.96% (

0.18)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.24% (

-0.22)

21.76% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.06% (

-0.34)

54.94% (

0.33)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.29% (

0.06)

34.71% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.56% (

0.06)

71.44% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Cremonese 48.04%

Spezia 26.31%

Draw 25.63%

Cremonese	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 48.04%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.63%	0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.31%