Serie B | Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Leonardo Garilli
Spezia Calcio logo

FeralpiSalo
1 - 2
Spezia

La Mantia (84')
Ceppitelli (35')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Esposito (17' pen.), Antonucci (45+1')
Bandinelli (33'), Antonucci (58'), Elia (60'), Nikolaou (84'), Moro (88'), Ekdal (90+1')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between FeralpiSalo and Spezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

FeralpiSalo

All competitions
Last Game: Lecco 1-2 FeralpiSalo
Tuesday, September 26 at 5.15pm in Serie B

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Spezia 0-0 Brescia
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest FeralpiSalo win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
FeralpiSaloDrawSpezia
28.82% (1.519 1.52)26.13% (0.902 0.9)45.05% (-2.423 -2.42)
Both teams to score 51.37% (-1.755 -1.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.25% (-2.783 -2.78)52.75% (2.781 2.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.62% (-2.43 -2.43)74.38% (2.428 2.43)
FeralpiSalo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.01% (-0.294 -0.29)32.99% (0.293 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (-0.329 -0.33)69.57% (0.327 0.33)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.66% (-2.273 -2.27)23.34% (2.272 2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.7% (-3.423 -3.42)57.3% (3.42 3.42)
Score Analysis
    FeralpiSalo 28.82%
    Spezia 45.04%
    Draw 26.13%
FeralpiSaloDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.838 0.84)
2-1 @ 6.89% (0.185 0.19)
2-0 @ 4.74% (0.43 0.43)
3-1 @ 2.55% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.75% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 28.82%
1-1 @ 12.42% (0.43 0.43)
0-0 @ 7.7% (0.811 0.81)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.208 -0.21)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 11.2% (0.48 0.48)
1-2 @ 9.04% (-0.3 -0.3)
0-2 @ 8.15% (-0.204 -0.2)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.464 -0.46)
0-3 @ 3.95% (-0.384 -0.38)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.279 -0.28)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.293 -0.29)
0-4 @ 1.44% (-0.25 -0.25)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 45.04%