Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggiana would win this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Reggiana
32.46% ( 0.51)	26.55% ( 0.26)	40.99% ( -0.77)

Both teams to score 51.72% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.93% (

-0.93)

53.07% (

0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.35% (

-0.79)

74.65% (

0.79)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.43% (

-0.13)

30.56% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.2% (

-0.15)

66.79% (

0.15)

Reggiana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.49% (

-0.81)

25.51% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.64% (

-1.13)

60.36% (

1.13)

Score Analysis

Spezia 32.46%

Reggiana 40.99%

Draw 26.55%

Spezia	Draw	Reggiana
1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.46%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.55%	0-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.4% Total : 40.99%