Serie B | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Spezia Calcio logo

Palermo
2 - 2
Spezia

Mancuso (73'), Stulac (90+14')
Brunori (7'), Lucioni (36'), Ceccaroni (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Reca (31'), Pio Esposito (70')
Cassata (7'), Bertola (17'), Dragowski (57'), Zurkowski (63'), Nikolaou (90')
Bertola (90+12')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Palermo and Spezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palermo

All competitions
Last Game: Modena 0-2 Palermo
Saturday, October 7 at 1pm in Serie B

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Spezia 0-0 Pisa
Sunday, October 8 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
PalermoDrawSpezia
45.06% (-0.264 -0.26)26.27% (0.105 0.11)28.67% (0.156 0.16)
Both teams to score 50.86% (-0.226 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.63% (-0.33600000000001 -0.34)53.37% (0.334 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.09% (-0.286 -0.29)74.91% (0.283 0.28)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4% (-0.27300000000001 -0.27)23.6% (0.27 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.32% (-0.392 -0.39)57.68% (0.39 0.39)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.57% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)33.43% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.94% (-0.064 -0.06)70.06% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Palermo 45.06%
    Spezia 28.67%
    Draw 26.27%
PalermoDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 11.39% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.22% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 45.06%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.89% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 8.65% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.84% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 28.67%

How you voted: Palermo vs Spezia

Palermo
89.5%
Draw
10.5%
Spezia
0.0%
19
Head to Head
May 1, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 36
Palermo
2-2
Spezia
Jajalo (32'), Moreo (40')
Haas (61'), Rajkovic (70'), Murawski (83')
Maggiore (30', 44')
Mora (72')
Dec 23, 2018 4.30pm
Gameweek 17
Spezia
1-1
Palermo
Capradossi (35')
Gyasi (86'), De Col (90')
Falletti (25')
Murawski (38'), Aleesami (59'), Salvi (70'), Bellusci (81')
Jan 20, 2018 5pm
Spezia
0-0
Palermo
Bolzoni (75')
Struna (57'), Aleesami (74')
Aug 26, 2017 7.30pm
Palermo
2-0
Spezia
Trajkovski (10'), Nestorovski (53')
Struna (40'), Posavec (81')

Terzi (35'), Sciaudone (48')
Nov 30, 2016 2pm
Round Four
Palermo
0-0
Spezia
 Spezia win 5-4 on penalties
Lo Faso (57'), Vitiello (108')
Vitiello (113')
Galli (82')