Serie B | Gameweek 8

Oct 1, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Palermo
2 - 1
Sudtirol

Ceccaroni (48'), Aurelio (89')
Segre (21'), Corini (22'), Stulac (33'), Coulibaly (61'), Aurelio (90'), Gomes (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ciervo (38')
Cuomo (40'), Poluzzi (43'), Cagnano (90+7')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Palermo and Sudtirol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palermo

All competitions

Last Game: Venezia 1-3 Palermo
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Sudtirol

All competitions

Last Game: Sudtirol 0-0 Modena
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 19.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palermo would win this match.

Result
Palermo	Draw	Sudtirol
53.58% ( 0.17)	26.48% ( -0.07)	19.94% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 41.98% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.38% (

0.12)

60.62% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.29% (

0.09)

80.71% (

-0.09)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.16% (

0.13)

22.84% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.43% (

0.18)

56.57% (

-0.18)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.4% (

-0.05)

45.6% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.59% (

-0.04)

81.41% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Palermo 53.57%

Sudtirol 19.94%

Draw 26.47%

Palermo	Draw	Sudtirol
1-0 @ 15.37% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 53.57%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.49% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 19.94%