Spezia Calcio logo
Serie B | Gameweek 13
Nov 12, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
2 - 2
Ternana

Bertola (36'), Capuano (90+1' og.)
Esposito (37'), Kouda (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Casasola (32'), Diakite (67')
Favilli (37'), Labojko (66'), Casasola (69')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Spezia and Ternana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Serie B
Last Game: Lecco 0-0 Spezia
Wednesday, November 8 at 5.30pm in Serie B

Ternana

All competitions
Last Game: Ternana 0-1 Venezia
Saturday, November 4 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawTernana
42.54% (1.05 1.05)26.22% (0.013999999999999 0.01)31.24% (-1.061 -1.06)
Both teams to score 52.31% (-0.445 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.89% (-0.392 -0.39)52.11% (0.395 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.17% (-0.339 -0.34)73.83% (0.342 0.34)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.72% (0.35599999999999 0.36)24.28% (-0.354 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.35% (0.504 0.5)58.65% (-0.5 -0.5)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09% (-0.91600000000001 -0.92)30.91% (0.919 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.8% (-1.091 -1.09)67.2% (1.094 1.09)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 42.54%
    Ternana 31.24%
    Draw 26.22%
SpeziaDrawTernana
1-0 @ 10.62% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.096 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.52% (0.269 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.17% (0.088 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.161 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 42.54%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.51% (0.117 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.81% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-2 @ 5.17% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 31.24%

Head to Head
Mar 10, 2018 2pm
Spezia
1-1
Ternana
Forte (43')
Lopez (57'), Terzi (75'), Mora (90')
Finotto (28')
Valijent (88')
Oct 14, 2017 2pm
Ternana
4-2
Spezia
Albadoro (20'), Tremolada (35'), Angiulli (65'), Montalto (88')
Valijent (18')
Marilungo (1'), Granoche (12')
Lopez (77'), Terzi (90')