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Serie B | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia

Modena
2 - 1
Ternana

Palumbo (17'), Falcinelli (56')
Ponsi (51'), Falcinelli (79'), Seculin (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dionisi (90+4')
Luperini (46'), Diakite (55')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Ternana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions
Last Game: Brescia 0-1 Modena
Tuesday, October 24 at 5.30pm in Serie B

Ternana

All competitions
Last Game: Ternana 0-1 Brescia
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.

Result
ModenaDrawTernana
40.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 27.33% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 32.38% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.32% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.89% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)56.11% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.82% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)77.18% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)27.29% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)62.73% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.84% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)32.16% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)68.64% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Modena 40.28%
    Ternana 32.38%
    Draw 27.33%
ModenaDrawTernana
1-0 @ 11.39%
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 40.28%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.78% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.33%
0-1 @ 9.96% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 32.38%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 22
Ternana
2-1
Modena
Ghiringhelli (7'), Favilli (16')
Falcinelli (51' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Modena
4-1
Ternana
Diaw (23' pen.), Capuano (32' og.), Falcinelli (64'), Tremolada (68')
Cittadini (7'), De Maio (45+1'), Falcinelli (65')
Favilli (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Parma352110463323173
2Como35208755381768
3VeneziaVenezia35207864402467
4Cremonese35179944301460
5CatanzaroCatanzaro351691055441157
6Palermo351410115950952
7Brescia351114103835347
8Sampdoria35139134849-146
9Pisa351112124748-145
10Cittadella351112123841-345
11SudtirolSudtirol351110144042-243
12Modena35916103844-643
13Reggiana35916103643-743
14Cosenza CalcioCosenza351012134339442
15AscoliAscoli35813143438-437
16Ternana35910163846-837
17SpeziaSpezia35716123146-1537
18BariBari35715133447-1336
19FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo3588194160-1932
20Lecco3568213266-3426
> Serie B Full Table


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