Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.

Result
Modena	Draw	Ternana
40.29% ( -0.02)	27.33% ( 0.01)	32.38% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 49.32% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.89% (

-0.03)

56.11% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.82% (

-0.02)

77.18% (

0.02)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.71% (

-0.03)

27.29% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.27% (

-0.04)

62.73% (

0.03)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.84% (

-0)

32.16% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.35% (

-0)

68.64% (

Score Analysis

Modena 40.28%

Ternana 32.38%

Draw 27.33%

Modena	Draw	Ternana
1-0 @ 11.39% 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.28%	1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.33%	0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.38%