Serie B | Gameweek 1

Oct 24, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Brescia
0 - 1
Modena

Lezzerini (88'), Papetti (90+9'), Bjarnason (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Zaro (90')
Palumbo (4'), Guiebre (55'), Pergreffi (75')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Brescia and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brescia

All competitions

Last Game: Ternana 0-1 Brescia
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in Serie B

Top scorers

Modena

All competitions

Last Game: Bari 1-1 Modena
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Modena had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Brescia	Draw	Modena
37.52% ( -1.94)	27.61% ( 0.09)	34.87% ( 1.85)

Both teams to score 48.93% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.17% (

-0.12)

56.83% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.24% (

-0.09)

77.76% (

0.1)

Brescia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.77% (

-1.19)

29.23% (

1.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.82% (

-1.49)

65.18% (

1.49)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.13% (

1.16)

30.87% (

-1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.85% (

1.35)

67.16% (

-1.34)

Score Analysis

Brescia 37.51%

Modena 34.87%

Draw 27.61%

Brescia	Draw	Modena
1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.44) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.51%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.61%	0-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 3% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.08% Total : 34.87%