Serie B | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi
Brescia logo

Lecco
0 - 2
Brescia


Battistini (17'), Crociata (34'), Marrone (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Borrelli (3'), Bianchi (63')
Fares (24'), Galazzi (86')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Lecco and Brescia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecco

All competitions
Last Game: Lecco 3-4 Catanzaro
Sunday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Serie B

Brescia

All competitions
Last Game: Brescia 1-0 Cosenza
Sunday, September 3 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Lecco had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Lecco win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.

Result
LeccoDrawBrescia
27.92% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)26.86% (0.027000000000001 0.03)45.22% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.64% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44% (-0.107 -0.11)56% (0.114 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.91% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)77.09% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Lecco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.58% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)35.42% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.82% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)72.18% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)24.68% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.79% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)59.21% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lecco 27.92%
    Brescia 45.22%
    Draw 26.86%
LeccoDrawBrescia
1-0 @ 9.07% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.71% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.28% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.63% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 27.92%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.74% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 12.23% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 8.56% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 45.22%