Serie B | Gameweek 10
Oct 21, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola

Bari
1 - 1
Modena

Sibilli (72')
Ricci (12'), Sibilli (73'), Di Cesare (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Manconi (83')
Zaro (14'), Cauz (55'), Cotali (67'), Gerli (68'), Bozhanaj (78')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reggiana 1-1 Bari
Saturday, October 7 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 0-2 Palermo
Saturday, October 7 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Modena had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
BariDrawModena
42.19% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)27.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)30.64%
Both teams to score 49.19% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44% (0.00099999999999767 0)55.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.91%77.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)26.21% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.68%61.31%
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.66% (0.0010000000000048 0)33.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.04% (0.0010000000000012 0)69.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bari 42.18%
    Modena 30.64%
    Draw 27.16%
BariDrawModena
1-0 @ 11.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 7.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 42.18%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.16%
0-1 @ 9.6%
1-2 @ 7.06%
0-2 @ 5.27%
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 30.64%

Head to Head
May 6, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 36
Modena
1-1
Bari
Diaw (77' pen.)
Ricci (34')
Dec 11, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 17
Bari
4-1
Modena
Botta (6'), Folorunsho (20'), Cittadini (54' og.), Di Cesare (90+1')
Diaw (90+5')