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Serie B | Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
2 - 0
Sudtirol

Bonny (9'), Man (57' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Giorgini (32'), Davi (41'), Cuomo (70'), Masiello (77'), Peeters (86')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Parma and Sudtirol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 2-4 Parma
Wednesday, November 1 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Sudtirol 3-1 Sampdoria
Saturday, October 28 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 55.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.32%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
ParmaDrawSudtirol
55.56% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)26.63%17.81%
Both teams to score 38.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.76%63.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.36%82.63% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.88% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)23.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.03% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)56.97%
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.31%49.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.56%84.44% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Parma 55.55%
    Sudtirol 17.81%
    Draw 26.62%
ParmaDrawSudtirol
1-0 @ 16.82%
2-0 @ 12.32%
2-1 @ 8.62%
3-0 @ 6.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.21%
4-0 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.54%
3-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 55.55%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 11.48%
2-2 @ 3.01%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 8.03%
1-2 @ 4.11%
0-2 @ 2.81%
1-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 17.81%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 29
Parma
0-0
Sudtirol
Oct 22, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 10
Sudtirol
1-0
Parma
Nicolussi (29')
rhs 2.0


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