Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sudtirol would win this match.

Result
Sudtirol	Draw	Sampdoria
38.08% ( 0.53)	28.95% ( 0.08)	32.97% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 44.8% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.19% (

-0.32)

61.81% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.4% (

-0.24)

81.6% (

0.24)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.63% (

0.17)

31.36% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.27% (

0.19)

67.73% (

-0.19)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.27% (

-0.6)

34.72% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.54% (

-0.64)

71.45% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Sudtirol 38.07%

Sampdoria 32.97%

Draw 28.94%

Sudtirol	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 38.07%	1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.94%	0-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.22% Total : 32.97%