Serie B | Gameweek 9
Oct 7, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Marco Druso

Sudtirol
0 - 1
Catanzaro


Siega (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Iemmello (43')
Scognamillo (37'), Brighenti (40'), Stoppa (90+3')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Sudtirol and Catanzaro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudtirol

All competitions
Last Game: Palermo 2-1 Sudtirol
Sunday, October 1 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Catanzaro

All competitions
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-2 Catanzaro
Sunday, October 1 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Catanzaro in this match.

Result
SudtirolDrawCatanzaro
30.57% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)27.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)41.48% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 46.91% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.13% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)58.87% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)79.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.1% (0.0039999999999907 0)34.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.36% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)71.64% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.06% (0.0040000000000049 0)27.94% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)63.56% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sudtirol 30.57%
    Catanzaro 41.48%
    Draw 27.94%
SudtirolDrawCatanzaro
1-0 @ 10.26%
2-1 @ 6.89%
2-0 @ 5.4%
3-1 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 1.9%
3-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 30.57%
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 9.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 12.43%
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 7.93%
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 41.48%