Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Catanzaro in this match.