Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for Lecco had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Lecco win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Lecco	Draw	Parma
26.62% ( -0.64)	24.74% ( 0.07)	48.63% ( 0.57)

Both teams to score 54.12% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.6% (

-0.74)

48.4% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.46% (

-0.68)

70.54% (

0.68)

Lecco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.6% (

-0.89)

32.4% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.09% (

-1.01)

68.91% (

1.02)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.06% (

-0.06)

19.94% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.9% (

-0.09)

52.09% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Lecco 26.62%

Parma 48.63%

Draw 24.74%

Lecco	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.59% Total : 26.62%	1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.74%	0-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 5.09% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 48.63%