Serie B | Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore

Reggiana
1 - 1
Lecco

Antiste (26')
Bianco (54'), Girma (59'), Szyminski (80'), Rozzio (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Buso (66')
Sersanti (24'), Lepore (41'), Tordini (88')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Reggiana and Lecco.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 2-1 Reggiana
Wednesday, November 1 at 2pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Palermo 1-2 Lecco
Sunday, October 29 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 54.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 20.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Lecco win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
ReggianaDrawLecco
54.42% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)24.63% (0.02 0.02)20.95% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.23% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.91% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)53.08% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.33% (-0.041 -0.04)74.67% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Reggiana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)19.44% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.71% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)51.28% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Lecco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.87% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)40.13% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.23%76.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Reggiana 54.41%
    Lecco 20.95%
    Draw 24.62%
ReggianaDrawLecco
1-0 @ 12.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.46%
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.34% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 54.41%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.8% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.12% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.33% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.33%
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 20.95%