Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 42.78%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 27.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Lecco win it was 0-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.