Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Lecco win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.