Serie B | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Renzo Barbera

Palermo
1 - 2
Lecco

Brunori (90+6' pen.)
Mateju (45+5'), Stulac (68')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Crociata (8'), Sersanti (41')
Celjak (14'), Caporale (43')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Palermo and Lecco.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palermo

All competitions
Last Game: Palermo 2-2 Spezia
Monday, October 23 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Lecco

All competitions
Last Game: Pisa 1-2 Lecco
Tuesday, October 24 at 5.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 17.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Lecco win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
PalermoDrawLecco
58.62% (-0.121 -0.12)23.76% (0.056999999999999 0.06)17.62% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 45.49% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.05% (-0.129 -0.13)53.95% (0.128 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (-0.108 -0.11)75.39% (0.108 0.11)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.82% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)18.18% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.83% (-0.157 -0.16)49.17% (0.158 0.16)
Lecco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.6% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)44.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)80.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Palermo 58.62%
    Lecco 17.62%
    Draw 23.76%
PalermoDrawLecco
1-0 @ 13.76% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.67% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 58.62%
1-1 @ 11.17% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.034 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.66% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 17.62%