Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest FeralpiSalo win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggiana would win this match.

Result
FeralpiSalo	Draw	Reggiana
28.17% ( 0.28)	27.47% ( 0.05)	44.35% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 47.06% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.89% (

-0.03)

58.11% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.22% (

-0.03)

78.78% (

0.03)

FeralpiSalo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.65% (

0.21)

36.35% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.86% (

0.21)

73.14% (

-0.21)

Reggiana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.93% (

-0.18)

26.07% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.89% (

-0.24)

61.11% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

FeralpiSalo 28.17%

Reggiana 44.35%

Draw 27.47%

FeralpiSalo	Draw	Reggiana
1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 28.17%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.47%	0-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.35%