Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest FeralpiSalo win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggiana would win this match.