Serie B | Gameweek 10
Oct 21, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Catanzaro
3 - 0
FeralpiSalo

Vandeputte (51'), Biasci (74'), Bacchetti (78' og.)
Scognamillo (11'), Vivarini (12'), Katseris (27'), Veroli (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Carraro (37'), Parigini (88')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Catanzaro and FeralpiSalo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Catanzaro

All competitions
Last Game: Sudtirol 0-1 Catanzaro
Saturday, October 7 at 1pm in Serie B

FeralpiSalo

All competitions
Last Game: Brescia 1-1 FeralpiSalo
Friday, October 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 21.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.

Result
CatanzaroDrawFeralpiSalo
54.4% (-0.407 -0.41)23.8% (0.181 0.18)21.78% (0.216 0.22)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.274 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.1% (-0.508 -0.51)48.89% (0.5 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.01% (-0.464 -0.46)70.98% (0.455 0.45)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (-0.34 -0.34)17.86% (0.332 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.37% (-0.581 -0.58)48.63% (0.574 0.57)
FeralpiSalo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.09% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)36.9% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.3% (-0.073 -0.07)73.69% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Catanzaro 54.4%
    FeralpiSalo 21.79%
    Draw 23.79%
CatanzaroDrawFeralpiSalo
1-0 @ 11.35% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 9.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.6% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 54.4%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.135 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.79%
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.122 0.12)
1-2 @ 5.64% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.28% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 21.79%