Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.