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Serie B | Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
1 - 1
Modena

Partipilo (90+3')
Estevez (35'), Pecchia (36'), Di Chiara (63'), Sohm (63'), Balogh (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Duca (59')
Seculin (86'), Falcinelli (90+8')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Parma and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecco 3-2 Parma
Sunday, November 12 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 0-2 Sampdoria
Saturday, November 11 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 51.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Modena had a probability of 21.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Modena win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawModena
51.71% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)26.48% (0.012 0.01)21.81% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 44.27% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.11% (0.015000000000001 0.02)58.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.62% (0.010999999999999 0.01)79.38% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)22.92% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.31% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)56.69% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.43% (0.079000000000001 0.08)42.57% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.08% (0.067 0.07)78.92% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Parma 51.7%
    Modena 21.81%
    Draw 26.47%
ParmaDrawModena
1-0 @ 14.37% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.58% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 51.7%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.76% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 8.33% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.24% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 21.81%

Head to Head
Apr 14, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 33
Modena
1-1
Parma
Diaw (14')
Nov 26, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 14
Parma
1-2
Modena
Vazquez (71' pen.)
Falcinelli (18'), Bonfanti (26')
rhs 2.0


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